Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 198.709895 239.213103 290.173082 360.733287 458.890742 595.643971 810.824635
2024-12-29 153.304824 201.251751 270.375371 383.793138 580.687790 947.888282 1828.198726
2025-01-05 122.462646 168.108971 238.890027 367.000868 623.206675 1215.082755 3304.857092
2025-01-12 106.264498 151.206074 225.203641 371.031874 703.885349 1667.086950 7400.711852
2025-01-19 92.887676 135.514319 208.750417 362.446440 751.770884 2126.521386 17517.293149
2025-01-26 88.698576 133.810002 215.955749 404.529646 964.814100 3782.113325 319609.690722
2025-02-02 87.528652 136.875245 232.659766 476.637518 1365.509812 9345.760573 NaN
2025-02-09 80.069359 127.199621 221.330249 473.001464 1489.686907 14849.098249 NaN
2025-02-16 74.791988 120.806959 215.551139 482.698706 1699.999543 29985.806236 NaN
2025-02-23 70.388763 115.453637 210.920333 494.237099 1955.277826 80684.673576 NaN
2025-03-02 66.956024 111.535646 208.755209 513.192529 2318.077655 573653.846176 NaN
2025-03-09 63.689259 107.522732 205.571574 527.797259 2714.349019 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 58.051345 98.571959 190.215769 497.907438 2721.925995 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 55.723714 96.370637 191.610539 534.696462 3637.991219 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 51.322396 89.192282 178.771112 507.768809 3688.880243 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 48.609119 85.365296 174.110534 514.207863 4356.097182 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 45.565427 80.483561 165.757044 500.512336 4655.350553 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 45.144727 81.370492 173.480958 568.313006 7809.260656 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 45.596478 84.298813 187.923846 688.308842 19188.764002 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 43.315825 80.537810 181.371545 682.144930 23522.070109 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 41.650022 78.084788 178.497281 698.610229 34809.127136 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 40.166690 75.925028 176.180299 718.311179 56751.949872 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 38.975002 74.361183 175.537640 750.932875 121118.765831 NaN NaN